Sunday 4/29 Hollywood Early

Hey everyone. Getting back to it after a few days off (blogging that is....not betting). I was out all day yesterday but played the pick 4's at Hollywood and hit the first of a $45 bet for $317. Sorry I didn't get that one out to ya. Oh well. You will all have to give me a little time to get all my s*@% together as I'm still learning this stuff and I take it pretty seriously if I'm gonna put them out for anyone to see.

I think that I've finally figured out Hollywood. I say finally like the meet's been going for weeks not days! Here's the breakdown but bear in mind(as always), these are animals and are a little unpredictable, but I've gone back and reviewed all the races so far and these things seem to prove reliable:
6 Furlong Races: Being close is not bad. Lone speed has been ok and stalkers have been right there if there are few of them and the fractions are fair(22, 23 range). However!.... beware if two or more horses have the speed and duel. It seems as though every race that has had a split of 21 or so has died and a deep closer has won the race....not stalkers either, just heavy closers.
6 and 1/2 to 7 furlongs: Bet the stalkers or proven closers even if there might be lone speed. They get a long run at the front runners and have been very reliable in winning these races. (Watch this one for the picks we put up for the early pick 4....we're trying to beat some chalk baby!!!!!!!!!)
Mile to 1 and 1/8: Stalkers have done very well. Here's how it breaks down fraction wise: 23/24, 48/1:12........speed and stalkers killing it. However, change that to 46/1:10,1:11, and stalkers and heavy closers are killing it. BTW,,,,,,this seems to be true for both class and crap.
6F Turf or so: lone speed and heavy closers. not a lot of these races but just in case
Turf Routes: unless you are absolutely lone speed.............be at the back of the pack. That being said. The rails been out until today. I would say to add a stalker to the mix(obviously only in well match field without a lone quality speed) as the shorter the course, the better the speed looks

Take all that in and convert it to the Pick 4. Here we go:
Race 1: 6,4,2 the 6 boasts top beyers, a 1:10 bullet a week ago, and Sadler hitting at 36% on 44 starters with cushion. However, he's the speed and if we want to stick with our style that fits, I think we have to go with the 4. He's got the style, the beyers, a 46 flat work a week ago and should come mowing them down in the lane. No idea with 2 as was bad in gate last and closed strong. Throw him in
Race 2: 1,6 The one could be a beast. Boast top last beyer (2 for 2 on turf), great style and great jock in GG. Would single except that we might need a closer to stick to the style and pace should be fast. THrow in the 6 to cover us as the best closer.
Race 3: 4,5,9 Love the 5 for the style, 2nd off and draws GG again. I think that he's the only true closer. Throw in the 9 and the 4 as legit stalker closers who could sweep and win.
Race 4: 1,2,5 A lot are pitching this as a duel between Greg's Gold(5) and Areyou talkintome(2) which could be the case. but the 1 is popping sick workouts for Julio and could sit the perfect trip for what has been winning at this distance.


2,4,6/1,6/9,5,4/1,2,5 for $54 bucks. Play it strong as we could get some upsets.

!!!!!!!!!Adjustments to early Hollywood pick 4

Hey everyone. Some key scratches have forced me to adjust my picks for race 2 and 6. \

Race 2: 1,3,7,8 the loss of the two hurts and i like the works and the stats of the 1 and 3 next best to the 2 so we'll throw them in there.
This makes the early pick 4: 1,2,3/7,8,1,3/1,5/3,6,7,9 for $96 sorry for the cost but it had to be done.

Race 6: the 7 has scratched which was our top pick. We instead go with the 3 and the 6 who tends to run better on the cushion and has been working well.
This makes the late pick 4: 6,5,1/3,6/6,5/3,7,9,12 for $48.

Good luck all.

Hollywood Late pick 4 for 4/26.........

Alright.....i'm not going down three in a row....or one in a row depending on what happened in the early pick 4....which i know is a win:-)

Here we go:

Race 5: 1,5,6 not in that order. the 5 is the horse i like the best. next is 6. then 1. if the 5's odds jump bet $10 quinella 5/6,1.
Race 6: i see no reason to go beyond the 7. however, the "experts" are picking the 3 all over so i guess that i have to as well.
Race 7: i love the 6. Declan's Moon (the 5) has been training like a monster. I hate to do it but I have to throw him in there.
Race 8: Could easily go with the 9. However, the experts are all choosing the 12 so we have to throw him in there. and we might as well throw in the 7 and the 3 cus of Dutrow's numbers with the starters.

Ok.....so it's 1,5,6/7,3/6,5/9,7,3,12 for $48. or you can go with a $10 pick 4 with 5/7/6/9. Good luck everyone if you're playing it. Adios.

Hollywood Early for 4/26

here we go:

Race 1: we go three deep in a 5 horse field.......but i think that we have to. we go with 1,2,3 with my favorite being the three. throw in a $10 quinella 3/2,1 and thank me on friday.
Race 2: 2,7,8 and cross your fingers. an ugly race really so no reason to bet it on it's own
Race 3: the 1 could steal it at short odds (Flores and Frankel 6 for 11...not too bad) and the 5 could close if he can't. could it be any easier?
Race 4: gotta go deeper here. 3,6,7,9. put a nice win bet on the 3 if the odds are 2-1 or greater....looks like he's got a great shot.

So there we are: 1,2,3/2,7,8/1,5/3,6,7,9 for $72. I like this one. Good luck playing it.

Just missed a decent one.....

check out the replay of the 7th. just played it the wrong style. all three horses we had were 1,2,3 at big odds coming into the lane but they all flattened out. oh well. i'm putting in the early and late pick 4's for Hollywood tonight (i might need Handride to bet them for me) so we hopefully can get some back with them tomorrow. I was looking at Aqueduct and Keeneland but the weather might tear apart the cards so i would rather not risk it. Good Luck all!!!!!!!

Hollywood Opening Day Late Pick 4

Hey everyone. First of all i would like to thank you for your acceptance into the TBA. It's truly an honor to me that more than one person might read my page in a day. Not to mention that I'm a part of a group that represents what i look as everything good in this sport that we all love. Thanks again.

That being said, my contribution to this esteemed collection of scholars is Pick 4 wagers. I'm putting one in today(and some of you might notice that it's about 5 minutes AFTER the first race of the sequence was run........but that was only because i had to get my bet in first....that's right, i'm playing all of these suckers so know that if i put one in, that i believe in it) without the assistance of my DRF but instead using Equibase stats so you'll have to forgive me in case i don't get it all right. Here we go:

Race 5: 2,3 The two looks like she could run and hide with an easy lead. However, the 3 is undefeated on turf and could inherit the lead if the 2 gets headed. Use both in the pick 4 but put a nice win bet on the 2 if she's above 2-1.
Race 6: 3,4,7 The 3's got the jock, the weight and the works. the 4 has been racing better, drops and has a great style for the race. the 7 has won his last three and Puype has got great 1st claim stats
Race 7: You could go deep here but i'm going with 3 cus i think that's all you need and we have to go deep late in the 8th. i go with the 1,4,and 6. Frankel and Talamo team up on the 1 for his first start in the states but he ran very well down in Brazil and should get a great trip. The 4 drops for this for the other Frankel entry and should relish the trip as she could walk them around. The 6 could be long gone. All three should be big odds
Race 8: Going with the only horses i think could win. 1,4,8,9, and 10.

So there you go: 2,3/3,4,7,/1,4,6,/1,4,8,9,10 for $90. Good luck all and thanks again for your initiation.

Santa Anita Late 4/22

Race 7: 2,3,9
Race 8: 7,8,9,10
Race 9: 1,3,5
Race 10: 2,3,8,11

Good Luck. Let's see if we can go 4 for 4 in the pick 4's.