6: 3,7,8,10,12 12 looks to be the best but you never know and that wind is playing havoc out there
7: 7 and 6 in a weird race. i hate chekhov(#6) but he's been training forwardly and looks good at the distance. the 7 has the style that should benefit and a little class
8: 2 and 6 are the obvious class but i always like a horse that fires up a bigger beyer on dirt than the others did on turf and that's the 7 Shark. hit the exacta box 7/2,6 and thank me later.
9: everyone's betting the 2 but i'm not. I especially like the 6 and 9 here and can't seperate the two. they both like the poly and distance. bet this exacta box as well and bet the 9 to win/place as he should be 5-1 or so.
$60 for the $1 pick 4. good luck again.
Oh yeah.............parlay that $1596 we won on the early bet at Keeneland to play these. That's not including the tri i gave ya in the 5th as well.
Sunday, April 15, 2007
Santa Anita Early
1: 1,3,5 can't seperate them. might want to box this exacta as well
2: 1 and 3 look to be the best here. 3 for upset bet win
3: 4 and 7 look the best
4: 3 looks best. throw the 5 in there as a flyer as well
$24 bucks. good luck
2: 1 and 3 look to be the best here. 3 for upset bet win
3: 4 and 7 look the best
4: 3 looks best. throw the 5 in there as a flyer as well
$24 bucks. good luck
Keeneland Early Pick 4 Sunday
Race 2: 2,3,4,7 can't seperate them. it sucks, but oh well.
Race 3: 5 really jumped beyer wise when on the poly once with best beyer as well. seems to be the right style for this one. However, i'm throwing the 9 in there as a question mark that i can't answer and who has a chance.
Race 4: Love the 8 with style that he hit with on poly and with all the cheap speed and big tail wind on the back. have to throw the 2 in due to pretty handy hold on top beyers and could steal it. the 11 could pick up the pieces if the race blows up completely due to the wind
Race 5: 4 looks to be the one except for lower beyers. however, i'm throwing the 7 in there as i love julian with patrick and this horse has great beyers, runs well off the layoff, and has top beyers. straight exacta the 7/4 and tri play 4/7,8,10/7,8,10
hope that you get it in. good luck to all. I'll be back with late keeneland and early and late Santa Anita. adios.
Race 3: 5 really jumped beyer wise when on the poly once with best beyer as well. seems to be the right style for this one. However, i'm throwing the 9 in there as a question mark that i can't answer and who has a chance.
Race 4: Love the 8 with style that he hit with on poly and with all the cheap speed and big tail wind on the back. have to throw the 2 in due to pretty handy hold on top beyers and could steal it. the 11 could pick up the pieces if the race blows up completely due to the wind
Race 5: 4 looks to be the one except for lower beyers. however, i'm throwing the 7 in there as i love julian with patrick and this horse has great beyers, runs well off the layoff, and has top beyers. straight exacta the 7/4 and tri play 4/7,8,10/7,8,10
hope that you get it in. good luck to all. I'll be back with late keeneland and early and late Santa Anita. adios.
Wednesday, April 4, 2007
Sunday results........
Well........we fared well in a lot of things....just not completed pick 4's. Hopefully you guys bet my tri plays as they both hit......albeit not big, but enough that you could have made some money.
Gulfstream..........got nipped on the wire in the last race by a 5-1 that nosed out my 11-1 to give a payout of $409.70 for $1 and if the 11-1 firster for barclay had hit you know if would have been closer to $1000. bad luck.........hopefully you all played the tri in the 9th. i had it 5 times. next!!!!!!!!
Santa Anita Early- got nipped again in the second race on our $16 pick 4. it paid $108 for a buck so we got shafted a little there too. go ahead and check out the replay of the race. couldn't have been any closer. btw.....the triple i said to play paid $18 for a buck. again......not huge, but positive if you played it the way i said.
Santa Anita Late.---------the 9 got nipped in the first race and then we were winners from there out. pick 4 paid $120. again........real close but just no cigar. you could have played the horses i loved and been 2nd-1st-1st-1st but i guess that's why we play it cus you never know how it works out.
SO- we went 9-12. not too bad. made some gutsy calls and some wimpy ones as well. I tell you what....this sunday, the 8th, i feel like i'm going at least 2 for 3. I hope that you all enjoy my analysis and i would love to get some input from everyone with picks that we have as well.
I don't want to place too much of a focus on the betting aspect of the races as I am the first to admit that I'm all about the beauty and instinct this game requires.............( i tell myself this to justify losing money). Hope to join the TBA soon and offer anything that i can. Including cash for a losing bet cus that's about all i'm good for lately. Good luck all and I'll see you Sunday to try it all over again.
Gulfstream..........got nipped on the wire in the last race by a 5-1 that nosed out my 11-1 to give a payout of $409.70 for $1 and if the 11-1 firster for barclay had hit you know if would have been closer to $1000. bad luck.........hopefully you all played the tri in the 9th. i had it 5 times. next!!!!!!!!
Santa Anita Early- got nipped again in the second race on our $16 pick 4. it paid $108 for a buck so we got shafted a little there too. go ahead and check out the replay of the race. couldn't have been any closer. btw.....the triple i said to play paid $18 for a buck. again......not huge, but positive if you played it the way i said.
Santa Anita Late.---------the 9 got nipped in the first race and then we were winners from there out. pick 4 paid $120. again........real close but just no cigar. you could have played the horses i loved and been 2nd-1st-1st-1st but i guess that's why we play it cus you never know how it works out.
SO- we went 9-12. not too bad. made some gutsy calls and some wimpy ones as well. I tell you what....this sunday, the 8th, i feel like i'm going at least 2 for 3. I hope that you all enjoy my analysis and i would love to get some input from everyone with picks that we have as well.
I don't want to place too much of a focus on the betting aspect of the races as I am the first to admit that I'm all about the beauty and instinct this game requires.............( i tell myself this to justify losing money). Hope to join the TBA soon and offer anything that i can. Including cash for a losing bet cus that's about all i'm good for lately. Good luck all and I'll see you Sunday to try it all over again.
Sunday, April 1, 2007
Santa Anita Late 4/1
here we are:
Race 6: 3 and 9 look real good. 9 especially. the trip looks right and his time on the hill is a full 2 seconds quicker than anyone elses. took some time off so bounce doesn't look likely. i throw the 3 in as well cus you never know how the closers are gonna come out of the dirt transfer.
Race 7: the 1 has the beyer number, the 4 has the workouts and the 7 has a little bit of both. Throw all three in there.
Race 8: down the hill again. i love the 11 but again, i have to throw the 5 and 2 in there for the trip.
Race 9: Mullins' 3 will be 1-1 most likely. i think the 9 is the only other with a shot. I use them both.
so.......3,9/1,4,7/11,5,2/3,9 for $48 again. GOod luck all. (i say all like there's anyone reading this)
so far we're 6 for 8 in the picks for the previous two (with a tri hit thrown in there)....let's see if we can make it 10 for 12.
Race 6: 3 and 9 look real good. 9 especially. the trip looks right and his time on the hill is a full 2 seconds quicker than anyone elses. took some time off so bounce doesn't look likely. i throw the 3 in as well cus you never know how the closers are gonna come out of the dirt transfer.
Race 7: the 1 has the beyer number, the 4 has the workouts and the 7 has a little bit of both. Throw all three in there.
Race 8: down the hill again. i love the 11 but again, i have to throw the 5 and 2 in there for the trip.
Race 9: Mullins' 3 will be 1-1 most likely. i think the 9 is the only other with a shot. I use them both.
so.......3,9/1,4,7/11,5,2/3,9 for $48 again. GOod luck all. (i say all like there's anyone reading this)
so far we're 6 for 8 in the picks for the previous two (with a tri hit thrown in there)....let's see if we can make it 10 for 12.
Early Santa Anita for 4/1
here we go:
Race 1: not a great race. going with 1,2,4,6 and trying to survive
Race 2: I like the 4 quite a bit but not sure what you got there. only other horse i could like would be the 2. this is kind of an odd turf race.
Race 3: I could not take a stand on Coco Belle or Magnificence because of the posts. It's wimpy, but have to use both.
Race 4: i have singled the 2 on my ticket. However, you could throw the 4 and 8 on there if you want to.
Good luck and I'll be back with the late pick 4 soon.
Race 1: not a great race. going with 1,2,4,6 and trying to survive
Race 2: I like the 4 quite a bit but not sure what you got there. only other horse i could like would be the 2. this is kind of an odd turf race.
Race 3: I could not take a stand on Coco Belle or Magnificence because of the posts. It's wimpy, but have to use both.
Race 4: i have singled the 2 on my ticket. However, you could throw the 4 and 8 on there if you want to.
Good luck and I'll be back with the late pick 4 soon.
Gulfstream Pick 4 for 4/1
Hello everyone. Thought that I would come back with what i think will be a winning pick 4 for you all. We're looking at the late pick four from Gulfstream for this lazy cold Sunday here in Jersey. I've got a bold/not bold single in race 8(if that makes any sense) in a very contentious race and the rest are some weaker fields so we'll see what we can do. Enough with the small talk, here we go...........
Race 7- I don't know if I've ever seen an uglier $50k claimer. How's that for a start? I've got the 2,3,5 and 6. Sounds bad i know in a 7 horse race, but like I said......it's ugly. here's my best guess to how the race plays out......3 takes the lead, with 2, 5, and 6 right there outside him. then..........????????????? i don't think the 4 or 6 can hang and there's not enough speed that they should be able to close.
Race 8- Really nice race. Tons of speed for a route race. There's a lot of horses who could be right there, a lot of question marks as well and some very interesting trainer/angle lines. However, i think the 9 (Vacare) should get a nice trip sitting outside and behind the 5 or 6 speed horses and should have plenty under Edgar to march it on in. It's a big field too so you may be able to get 2-1 on the odds as well. bet the 2,6, and 8 behind him as well in the tri's
Race 9- I think the 5 and 6 have a good shot to stalk then pounce on cheap speed. If they freak out and really fly i think the 1 could close with the bug boy and weighing in at 110. There's really no need to go further than that.
Race 10- 1 and 1/8 on the turf for maidens. very interesting. I'm going with one first time starter(#4) from Barclay Tagg who hits at 43% with route debuters and the horse has been training very well. I think the 6 could steal it with Prad0 by getting what should be an easy lead and the 1 and 2 could rail trip it and close hard. I am not going with either (non-coupled!) entry from this guy.....Todd Pletcher? i think both of the entries don't have the turnover they're going to need to get close to the 6. we're going with the ground savers which i always like for young three year olds at 1 and 1/8 or longer on the turf. FYI.......the 14 draws in for Elvis trujillo and kiaran mclaughlin.....Big E and Kiaran are 5 for 5 this year and 4 for 4 at GP this meet with a ROI of $43.50!!!!!!!! i don't like the horse but with that kind of ROI and record......may be worth something if the odds float.
That's it for Gulfstream . I'll be back before 3:30 for Santa Anita early and late. Adios and good luck.
Race 7- I don't know if I've ever seen an uglier $50k claimer. How's that for a start? I've got the 2,3,5 and 6. Sounds bad i know in a 7 horse race, but like I said......it's ugly. here's my best guess to how the race plays out......3 takes the lead, with 2, 5, and 6 right there outside him. then..........????????????? i don't think the 4 or 6 can hang and there's not enough speed that they should be able to close.
Race 8- Really nice race. Tons of speed for a route race. There's a lot of horses who could be right there, a lot of question marks as well and some very interesting trainer/angle lines. However, i think the 9 (Vacare) should get a nice trip sitting outside and behind the 5 or 6 speed horses and should have plenty under Edgar to march it on in. It's a big field too so you may be able to get 2-1 on the odds as well. bet the 2,6, and 8 behind him as well in the tri's
Race 9- I think the 5 and 6 have a good shot to stalk then pounce on cheap speed. If they freak out and really fly i think the 1 could close with the bug boy and weighing in at 110. There's really no need to go further than that.
Race 10- 1 and 1/8 on the turf for maidens. very interesting. I'm going with one first time starter(#4) from Barclay Tagg who hits at 43% with route debuters and the horse has been training very well. I think the 6 could steal it with Prad0 by getting what should be an easy lead and the 1 and 2 could rail trip it and close hard. I am not going with either (non-coupled!) entry from this guy.....Todd Pletcher? i think both of the entries don't have the turnover they're going to need to get close to the 6. we're going with the ground savers which i always like for young three year olds at 1 and 1/8 or longer on the turf. FYI.......the 14 draws in for Elvis trujillo and kiaran mclaughlin.....Big E and Kiaran are 5 for 5 this year and 4 for 4 at GP this meet with a ROI of $43.50!!!!!!!! i don't like the horse but with that kind of ROI and record......may be worth something if the odds float.
That's it for Gulfstream . I'll be back before 3:30 for Santa Anita early and late. Adios and good luck.
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