3: #6 I think Easy Single with First Defense
4: 4,11,14 Love the 11 and 14. Don't know what you have off the Poly in from Cali. with the 4
5: 3,4 WAY too much speed in here and with the track drying out, the 3 and 4 should be stalking and closing very nicely. I can't split them up.
6: 4,8 I LOVE the 8. I also love the 4. There's a lot of speed and fades at shorter so i think that if you can sit back a little and close into it you should be sittin pretty. Which these two will be.
$1 Pick 4: 6/4,11,14/3,4/4,8 for $12. There it is. The second one. I LOVE IT! and have already placed my wager. Good luck everyone!
Oh yeah.........................anyone play that exacta and/or tri bet on the 3rd? $18 Exacta hit for $2 and a $97 tri for $2. Hope you did!
Saturday, May 3, 2008
Derby Day Pick 4 Races 1-4
Ok. Here we go. $1 pick 4 for $48 bucks to start the day. Yes............I have no cajones.
Race 1: I love the 4. I also don't know what we've got with the 7. And if these two cook each other, the 2 will be right there. Go with 2,4,7. Also.........a very good tri bet as well. The 7 should throw some value in as well.
Race2: THere's no speed in this race. Again.........track is sealed as of last update and with that condition yesterday, it was a merry go round. Therefore, we take the horse with seconditis throwing on the blinkers (#2) and the horse on the outside who has shown decent speed in his two races and should like the wet being from Vindication.
Race 3: In the pick 4 we go with First Defense(6). I can't get around his speed and the ability to carry it. I think he just sits outside Spin Master, cooks him, and then runs on. Not very exciting. BUT...........play the exacta or tri of 6/2,8,9/2,8,9. I think that Spin Master might fade and leave it open for the 8 and 9 to overtake him in the lane. Play it and win!
Race 4: A lot of question marks here so we're going to spread with who should be the only logical choices: 3,4,11,14. I like the 14 and the 11 as the speed..............the other two are there because they've run the distance and look like they have a chance given the speed bias that may develop.
SO...........2,4,7/2,10/6/3,4,11,14 for $24. I think this should get us all started pretty well. GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Oh.......i've already entered my ticket as I promise that I always will if i post something. Latas.
Race 1: I love the 4. I also don't know what we've got with the 7. And if these two cook each other, the 2 will be right there. Go with 2,4,7. Also.........a very good tri bet as well. The 7 should throw some value in as well.
Race2: THere's no speed in this race. Again.........track is sealed as of last update and with that condition yesterday, it was a merry go round. Therefore, we take the horse with seconditis throwing on the blinkers (#2) and the horse on the outside who has shown decent speed in his two races and should like the wet being from Vindication.
Race 3: In the pick 4 we go with First Defense(6). I can't get around his speed and the ability to carry it. I think he just sits outside Spin Master, cooks him, and then runs on. Not very exciting. BUT...........play the exacta or tri of 6/2,8,9/2,8,9. I think that Spin Master might fade and leave it open for the 8 and 9 to overtake him in the lane. Play it and win!
Race 4: A lot of question marks here so we're going to spread with who should be the only logical choices: 3,4,11,14. I like the 14 and the 11 as the speed..............the other two are there because they've run the distance and look like they have a chance given the speed bias that may develop.
SO...........2,4,7/2,10/6/3,4,11,14 for $24. I think this should get us all started pretty well. GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Oh.......i've already entered my ticket as I promise that I always will if i post something. Latas.
Derby Day Notes
The Dirt looks like a merry go round with big price winners on Oaks Day that were all speed or middle move types. This will be key in handicapping today. In addition, despite the fact that the rail was down on the hedge (and will be again today), the turf played almost the same exact way. Albeit, the races on the turf yesterday were a little odd with a couple of first time turfers going, and the fact that the rain didn't start until the 5th race or so. So I am going to assume that the turf will play similarly.............even though I don't really have any idea as t0 why. I'll be back with the Pick 4's in a minute. Good luck all!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Saturday, April 19, 2008
Keeneland Sunday April 20th
I am in the midst of handicapping the 20th card. I think that there might be a couple of "easy winners" that we can stamp out in the 4 and the 6 (carryover is decent here). I missed posting my play of the day Behindatthebar. I threw out the "rooster" at thelast second for the $252 exacta but still not a bad hit for $20 on the winner who paid $13.60. I'll chat with you all soon.
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